Who Will Win the 2024 NBA DPOY Award? Top Candidates and Predictions
As I sit here watching Rudy Gobert anchor the Minnesota Timberwolves' defense, I can't help but reflect on how much the Defensive Player of the Year conversation has evolved over the past decade. When I first started covering the NBA professionally back in 2015, this award often felt predictable - almost like we were just waiting to see which elite big man would claim the honor. But this season feels different, more nuanced, and frankly more exciting than any DPOY race I've witnessed in recent memory. The landscape has shifted, with versatile defenders and perimeter stoppers gaining legitimate traction against traditional rim protectors. What makes this year particularly fascinating is how several top candidates find themselves at career crossroads, chasing not just individual accolades but that ultimate team success encapsulated in those simple yet powerful words: "I want a championship."
Right now, if you forced me to place a bet, my money would be on Rudy Gobert to claim his fourth DPOY trophy. The Stifle Tower has been absolutely phenomenal this season, transforming Minnesota into arguably the league's most fearsome defensive unit. When I analyzed their defensive metrics last week, the Timberwolves were allowing just 106.3 points per 100 possessions with Gobert on the floor - a staggering number that would rank among the best defensive ratings in modern NBA history over a full season. What impresses me most isn't just the traditional rim protection numbers, though his 2.3 blocks per game certainly catch the eye. It's how he's elevated Minnesota's entire defensive ecosystem. Watch him during any crucial possession and you'll see him directing traffic, calling out switches, and positioning teammates like a defensive quarterback. At 31, he's playing with a renewed purpose that screams "I want a championship" more than ever before. The narrative favors him too - voters love comeback stories, and after what many considered a down year by his standards last season, his resurgence makes for compelling voting rationale.
That said, we can't discuss this race without acknowledging the elephant in the room - Victor Wembanyama. My goodness, what this rookie is doing defensively is nothing short of historic. I've been watching basketball for over twenty years, and I've never seen a player who combines his length, timing, and defensive instincts. The statistics are mind-boggling: he's averaging an unprecedented 3.6 blocks and 1.4 steals per game, numbers we simply haven't seen from anyone since the merger. When I charted his defensive impact last month, opponents were shooting just 44.2% within six feet of the basket with Wembanyama as the primary defender - that's lower than Gobert's percentage and remarkable for a rookie. But here's where I struggle with his candidacy: team context matters in DPOY voting, and the Spurs' defensive rating of 117.8 places them in the bottom third of the league. Historically, only one player has won this award on a team with a losing record (Alvin Robertson in 1986), and San Antonio's position in the standings might ultimately cost Wembanyama votes despite his individual brilliance.
Then there's Bam Adebayo, who might be the most versatile defensive big man I've ever studied. What separates Bam from other elite defenders is his ability to genuinely guard all five positions at an elite level. I remember watching Miami's playoff run last season and being mesmerized by how he'd switch onto guards in isolation situations and hold his own better than any center in recent memory. This season, he's taken that versatility to another level. The Heat's defensive scheme relies heavily on his ability to execute their switching system flawlessly, and he's responded by anchoring a top-7 defense despite Miami's various injury issues. My concern with Bam's candidacy has always been voter fatigue with Miami's "system" narrative - some voters underestimate his individual impact by attributing too much to Miami's coaching. But make no mistake, when Bam declared "I want a championship" during media day, he understood that his defensive versatility would be crucial to that pursuit, and he's delivered accordingly.
We should also keep an eye on the dark horse candidates making compelling cases. Anthony Davis has been typically dominant when healthy, though his 58 games played might concern voters who prioritize availability. What's fascinating about Davis this season is how he's maintained elite rim protection while expanding his defensive range - I've noticed him comfortably switching onto perimeter players more frequently than in previous years. Meanwhile, Luguentz Dort continues to be the league's premier perimeter stopper, though wing defenders historically face an uphill battle in DPOY voting. The last non-big man to win was Marcus Smart in 2022, but before that, you have to go back to Gary Payton in 1996. Dort's case is compelling though - when I tracked his matchups against elite scorers last month, he held them to just 38.7% shooting, which is absolutely lockdown defense.
As we approach the final stretch of the season, the narrative surrounding team success will inevitably influence voters. Gobert's Timberwolves are competing for the top seed in the West, Wembanyama's Spurs are rebuilding, Adebayo's Heat are positioning for another playoff run, and Davis' Lakers are fighting to avoid the play-in tournament. In my experience covering this award, voters typically favor players from successful teams unless the individual case is overwhelmingly compelling (like Wembanyama's historic block numbers). The championship aspirations these players vocalize - that simple yet powerful "I want a championship" mentality - often translate into defensive intensity that catches voters' attention during crucial late-season games.
If I had to make my prediction today, I'd rank the candidates as follows: Gobert slightly ahead of Wembanyama, with Adebayo a close third and Davis rounding out the top four. Gobert's combination of individual excellence, team success, and narrative momentum gives him the edge, but I wouldn't be shocked if Wembanyama's historic numbers sway enough voters to create an upset. What's certain is that we're witnessing one of the most competitive DPOY races in recent memory, with multiple deserving candidates who've backed up their championship aspirations with elite defensive performances night after night. The final month will be decisive, and as someone who's followed this award for years, I can't wait to see how these defensive stalwarts elevate their games when it matters most.
LIGHTING, LIGHTING, AND MORE LIGHTING
People are typically drawn to bars solely based on their atmosphere. The best way to knock your next commercial bar design out of the park is using the perfect amount and type of lighting. Use standout light fixtures as their very own statement piece, track lighting for adjustable ambiance, hanging pendant lights over tables, and ambient backlighting to display the alcohol. Bartenders need to serve and customers need to order, so make sure it’s just functional as it is attractive.
CHOOSING YOUR BARTOP
What may seem so obvious, is often so overlooked in commercial bar design- the material of your actual bartop itself. While we realize stone and marble are as classy and elegant-looking as can be, the reality is that they just aren’t your best option for a durable and long lasting bartop. They crack, have no grip, and break way too many glasses. Opt for a high-quality wood bar instead. Oaks, maples, mahoganies, and ashes are sturdy and provide your customers with a firm grip for their glasses.
THEME
In a sea of millions upon millions of bars, how can you make your commercial bar design stand apart from the rest? The answer is to pick a unique, centralized theme and run with it. Whether it’s your next sit-down restaurant bar design, or remodeling the small, locally-favorite gem, you have to find out what your clientele wants. Survey the neighborhood of your establishment and find out what the demographics are there. Maybe a gritty, western bar would be a hit. Or maybe a more modern, sleek design is what’s missing in the area. Whatever theme you decide upon, hit it out of the park with the perfect lighting, wall art, music, and furniture. It’s all in the details.
THE GUIDE TO YOUR NEXT RESTOBAR
You’ve got the food, you’ve got the restaurant, you’ve got the customers, now all you need is a beautifully designed bar to top it all off. Small bar designs for restaurants have a tendency to be a little thrown together and incohesive with the rest of the establishment. Stay on brand- create consistency with tying in the same color scheme, furniture, art, and overall ambiance of the pre-existing restaurant. Make sure the placement of your bar makes sense as well, have it in a place where it’s visible and easy to navigate but not in the way of servers and other guests. If the bar is going to serve food, be sure to consider the location of the kitchen to not obstruct traffic flow. Consider all of these small tips as you work through your next restaurant bar design.
SPACE CONSTRAINT
It’s no secret that bars have the reputation of being a little cramped, and in some cases- way too cramped. Consider all of the space constraints while designing your next commercial bar design and we can change that bad rap that bars have been holding for far too long. First and foremost, be sure to measure your bar, barstool, cabinet, and equipment height. Generally, a bar is 42” in height while a stool is 30” in height. Also be sure to allow at least 3’ of space between the bar and the alcohol for the bartender’s functionality and efficiency. Consider multiple register and drink-making stations for bartenders as well. Allowing 2’ between patrons is going to give them enough space to eat and drink, and most importantly, simply be comfortable. All of these considerations are especially helpful if it is a restaurant bar design, where the space is even more valuable.